Shockah!- Evan Bayh (D-IN) to retire!!!
Update 3: ahh Larry Sabato agrees with me, Bayh was still a good certainty at holding this seat, this resignation is a shot at Obama no mistake,
Anybody who says Evan Bayh is retiring because he feared being defeated by ex-Sen. Dan Coats is dead wrong. Bayh was the clear favorite in that match-up, and Coats has been damaged by the lobbying and residency revelations about him over the last couple of weeks.
And that’s why this is such a setback for Democrats. The Crystal Ball has immediately re-categorized this seat from Likely D to Toss Up, pending a clearer picture of the party nominees. 2010 is going to be a Republican year, and despite Obama’s narrow 2008 victory in Indiana, the Hoosier State is still GOP territory overall. At the very least, Democrats will have to spend big bucks to hold the seat, if they can hold it at all. The logical Democratic candidate would probably be an incumbent House member, perhaps Brad Ellsworth (age 51), Joe Donnelly (age 54), or Baron Hill (age 56). Hill has already run against Senate appointee Coats in the 1990 special election (following Sen. Dan Quayle’s resignation to become Vice President), and lost to Coats by a respectable 54% to 46%. Since Hill faces yet another tough rematch with former GOP Cong. Mike Sodrel, Hill might be especially tempted to make the run. But this is all speculation.
Update 2: Ambinder, (stenographer to Rahm), tweets that Bayh had ‘promised’ Dem leadership he was running. Heh.
Recall Bayh’s reaction to Brown’s win in MASS:
…Bayh told ABC News that the MA results would reflect the unpopularity of the Democratic agenda, and that it was time for Obama and the party to change course.
Democrats would find themselves “in even further catastrophe” if they failed to learn from the “wake-up call” of Coakley’s pending defeat, Bayh said, asserting that voters “just aren’t buying our message.”…
More from Bayh’s statement:
“Two weeks ago, the Senate voted down a bipartisan commission to deal with one of the greatest threats facing our nation: our exploding deficits and debt. The measure would have passed, but seven members who had endorsed the idea instead voted ‘no’ for short-term political reasons,” he said. “Just last week, a major piece of legislation to create jobs — the public’s top priority — fell apart amid complaints from both the left and right. All of this and much more has led me to believe that there are better ways to serve my fellow citizens, my beloved state4 and our nation than continued service in Congress.”
Update: The more I think about it the more I suspect the PTB plan to ram full speed ahead on healthcare with reconciliation following the “kabuki theatre/joint meeting” next week and this is Evan saying, count me OUT!
Holy crxp! Evan was our pick for HRC VEEP, and was vetted for Obama Veep as well, talk about Reversal of Fortune. They are fleeing from Obamanomics…h/t HotAir headlines. Ed has a post up here. I disagree strongly that Bayh wouldve lost this seat to Coats, nothing in polling or cash would suggest that. This is no Reid.
Indiana Sen. Evan Bayh will not seek re-election this year, a decision that hands Republicans a prime pickup opportunity in the middle of the country.
“After all these years, my passion for service to my fellow citizens is undiminished, but my desire to do so by serving in Congress has waned,” Bayh will say.
Bayh will announce the decision at a press conference later today. He was first elected to the Senate in 1998 and was re-elected easily in 2004. National Republicans had recruited former Sen. Dan Coats to challenge Bayh in 2010 although polling suggested Bayh began the race with a 20-point edge. He also had $13 million in the bank at the end of the year.
Bayh was up 30 points in polling on Coates and had 13 mill in the bank, he is no Dodd or Reid, he had a great shot at re-election .. Bayh made some bad votes since Teh One came into office, but he seemed a true moderate to me. Things must be B-A-D in Obamaland for this IMO…..
Prior to being in the Senate, Bayh served two terms as governor of the Hoosier State. He also served briefly as Secretary of State….