WH announces $2B for bridge loans for unemployed homeowners and $1B for HUD for same-HEMAP…

Update 4: Yves at NakedCapitalism sums up this latest plan beautifully:

…How is this supposed to help borrowers? Seriously. This is the government equivalent of a subprime teaser loan. But this is even worse. First, teaser borrowers paid at least a smidge of interest (even 2% is more than zero), which placed a teeny constraint on their ability to take on debt. Second, housing was at least appearing to increase, so it wasn’t entirely nuts (merely sorta nuts) to look to the principal value of the house as security and reason to extend yourself financially….

…This measure, as modest as it is, therefore looks like yet another backdoor transfer to banks, and a way to try to prop up housing prices (note the “stabilize housing markets” comment) and secondarily, funnel some cash to communities (note the loans are intended to be used for property tax payments too)….

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August 11, 2010. Tags: , , , , , , , . Economy, Finance, Foreclosures, Housing, Obama Administration, Politics, TARP, Taxes, Unemployment Statistics, Wall St. 1 comment.

Is MS’ QE2 refi for all on the way or is Ben blowing sunshine up our axxes?

So is QE2, (the quantitative easing not the ship), on the way or is Ben blowing sunshine and/or smoke up our axxes again?

CaculatedRisk:

From Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke: Challenges for the Economy and State Governments

On the economy:

While the support to economic activity from stimulative fiscal policies and firms’ restocking of their inventories will diminish over time, rising demand from households and businesses should help sustain growth. In particular, in the household sector, growth in real consumer spending seems likely to pick up in coming quarters from its recent modest pace, supported by gains in income and improving credit conditions. In the business sector, investment in equipment and software has been increasing rapidly, in part as a result of the deferral of capital outlays during the downturn and the need of many businesses to replace aging equipment….

UHHH come again? Exsqueeze me? Increased consumer INCOME???? consumer spending?? Have you SEEN the savings rate and the PCE?

Memo to Ben: Wishin’ and hopin’ and thinkin’ and prayin’ is NOT an economic strategy! Give us Growth or tell the SOOPERGENIUSES in the WH to get the hell out of the way!

Ben continues~(…) To be sure, notable restraints on the recovery persist. The housing market has remained weak, with the overhang of vacant or foreclosed houses weighing on home prices and new construction. Similarly, poor economic fundamentals and tight credit are holding back investment in nonresidential structures, such as office buildings, hotels, and shopping malls.

Importantly, the slow recovery in the labor market and the attendant uncertainty about job prospects are weighing on household confidence and spending. After two years of job losses, private payrolls expanded at an average of about 100,000 per month during the first half of this year, an improvement but still a pace insufficient to reduce the unemployment rate materially. In all likelihood, significant time will be required to restore the nearly 8-1/2 million jobs that were lost over 2008 and 2009. Moreover, nearly half of the unemployed have been out of work for longer than six months….

Why  yes!!!, that pesky LACK OF FRAKKIN JOBS is holding us back, just a WEE bit, mighty white of Ben to notice, pardon the pun, my days in the Bronx…

Let’s hope QE2 the MS way is coming (see excerpts and linky below), BTW guess who suggested this 1 pg refi for all??? JOHN MCCAIN IN 2008. yep.

The ONLY WAY IN HELL Ben’s forecast for ‘increased consumer spending and income!!!’ will materialize is if plans are in the works or about to be to launch the MS QE2 plan in which all Americans paying on time get an ‘instant 1 pg refi’ drop in their mortgages to market rates (which, following another buying binge by Fed would be 2.99% let’s say) in CONJUNCTION with cutting principle on the defaultees (this way the foreclosures will stop and the prices will stop dropping in housing) with the new rates for all! the larger group who pay on time wont be so pixxed since they get theirs too…

From the MS PDF-If it were possible to inject a significant amount of stimulus into the US household sector, and this stimulus had zero impact on the budget deficit, did not require an exit strategy, did not distort the markets, and took effect almost immediately, wouldn’t it seem like a slam dunk?
Such an option actually exists in the form of a change to
mortgage refinancing requirements. The Fed and
market forces have pushed mortgage rates to historic
lows, yet many homeowners are unable to take
advantage because they are blocked from refinancing.
This problem could be addressed if the Government
merely recognized its existing guarantee on the principal
value of a large part of the mortgage market – the
mortgages that are backed by Fannie, Freddie and
Ginnie – and acted to streamline the refi process.
There are 37 million mortgages outstanding whose
principal value is backed by the Federal government.
When these homeowners apply for a refinancing, the
application is subject to a standard underwriting process
that involves an LTV test (requiring a property appraisal),
an analysis of the borrower’s FICO score, and income
verification.
We estimate a potential average rate reduction of 125 bp on 50% of the outstanding volume of agency-backed mortgages. In the aggregate, the savings amounts to $46 billion per year. That’s more than the cost of the latest extension of unemployment benefits and more than taxpayers saved under the Make Work Pay tax
credits in the 2009 fiscal stimulus legislation.
The bottom line is that market conditions have created a
potential costless windfall that is not being used. There
is no need for a case-by-case analysis of a borrower’s
credit quality when the principal value of the mortgage is
already backed by the government.

…How Many Borrowers Could Be Impacted?
As seen in Exhibit 3, roughly half of all US households have a
mortgage. Of these 55 million households, 37 million have
mortgages whose principal value is already guaranteed by the
Federal government. Yet, when these homeowners apply for a
refinancing, the application is subject to a standard
underwriting process that involves an LTV test (requiring a
property appraisal), an analysis of the borrower’s FICO score,
and income verification. Obviously, the drop in home prices

during the past few years means that many borrowers will notmeet the LTV requirement – especially since there has been a significant tightening in the appraisal process according to press reports. Indeed, our housing analyst Oliver Chang estimates that more than one-third of all agency-backed mortgages outstanding now have an LTV above 80% (see Exhibit 2). Looking at the principal value of these mortgages, the proportion is even greater (a little above 40% of the total) because an outsized share are located in California, where property values are higher than the national average. There are probably an additional 10% or so of borrowers who don’t qualify for refinancing because of job loss or a low FICO score.
Thus, we believe that perhaps 50% of the outstanding principal value of agency mortgages may not be refi-able at present. As seen in Exhibit 4, this estimate is broadly consistent with actual versus predicted prepay9(ment speeds that currently prevail in the mortgage market. (go read the entire paper and how they propose this be addressed, seems a win/win to me)

but if they do not plan to do this then he is either totally disconnected or full of shxt and lying to us, neither is good…

August 2, 2010. Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , . Economy, Finance, Foreclosures, Housing, Politics, Popular Culture, TARP, Taxes, Unemployment Statistics, Wall St. 2 comments.

True Blood S3 – Second Half Sneak Peek from SDCC ’10 (spoilers!)

Courtesy of HBO and ShirtlessLocke

July 26, 2010. Tags: , , , , , . Celebrities, Charlaine Harris, Entertainment, Fantasy, Fiction, Housing, Mystery, Popular Culture, Sci Fi, Supernatural, Suspense, True Blood, Urban Fantasy. Comments off.

New home sales (contracts signed) rise *sharply*…

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April 23, 2010. Tags: , , , , . Economy, Finance, Foreclosures, Housing. Comments off.

Updates: These short positions GS took are the AIG CDS’ we lost billions on?! Golden Slacks getting hammered by SEC fraud charges…

Update: Oh shxt! I didnt realize the short positions they are talking about are the damn AIG CDS!!! Oh snap! These are the frakkin CDS we lost BILLIONS on via AIG! h/t doc holiday:

Skeptical CPA: December 2008Re: “Some of AIG’s speculative bets were tied to a group of [CDOs] named ‘Abacus,’ created by [GSG]. … In what amounted to a side bet on the value of these holdings, AIG agreed to pay [GSG] if the mortgage debt declined in value and would receive money is it rose. … The plan has resulted in banks in North America and Europe emerging as winners: They have kept the collateral they previously received from AIG and received the rest of the securities’ value in the form of cash from Maiden Lane III. … It also has been a double boon to banks and financial institutions that specifically bought protection on now shaky mortgage securities and are effectively being made whole on those positions by AIG and the [Fed]”, my emphasis, Serena Ng, Carrick Mollenkamp & Michael Siconolfi at the WSJ, 10 December 2008.”

Update: Cramer is all over CNBC saying his confidential high sources say GS had a position , long, in the CDO, really laying it on shilling for Golden, really sad. Saying its caveat emptor the German bank who took losses is responsible, while he is saying GS was long the position. Shill Jim shill. wow some guy(silvan raines, sp?) says Cramer takes money from GS to his face on the air just now, heh.

Update: Here is Boehner stmt, he calls GS Pres Obamas top Wall St Ally, oohhh, nice:

“These are very serious charges against a key supporter of President Obama’s bill to create a permanent Wall Street bailout fund.  Despite President Obama’s rhetoric, his permanent bailout bill gives Goldman Sachs and other big Wall Street banks a permanent, taxpayer-funded safety net by designating them ‘too  big to fail.’  Just whose side is President Obama on?

“Instead of permanent bailouts for President Obama’s Wall Street allies, Republicans believe the best way to protect taxpayers is by reforming Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the government-sponsored companies that sparked the meltdown by giving high-risk loans to people who couldn’t afford it.”

NOTE: Goldman Sachs was President Obama’s top Wall Street contributor during the 2008 election cycle, donating nearly $1 million to his campaign.

Update: John Boehner GOP minority leader House, just put a wicked spin on that ball, his statement said these charges against GS a partner in Pres Obamas Fin Reg Plan are very concerning, that the FIn Reg Reform Bill will protect GS as too big to fail, Boehner said, whose side is President Obama on? oooooohhhh!! ^5 to Boehner

Update: So I was thinking the Volcker Rule is gonna make a BIG comeback off this, ya know? I mean WSJ was just declaring it dead, again, this week and I do not see how the banks are gonna fight Volcker Rule and the Consumer Protection Thingy in the face of the headlines the lamestream put together off this. And it is things like this that kill the markets for everyone, thanks GS you frakkers.

12:51pm EST: DOW down 153 now, back under 11k, like Spinal Tap, it goes to eleven..that’s about all that number was worth…S&P back under the big 1200 the traders were so excited about…GLD, OIL, all down…

Update: Steve Liesman – Paulson’s right hand man, Pelligrini,  was source of confirmation for the fraud charges in re his selection of the ‘lousy’ subprime securities that went into the CDO. He left Paulson in 2009. Steve says what Paulson did is likely not illegal, the issue is disclosure and that is all on GS…

Paging Andrew Cuomo, will Andrew Cuomo please file an indictment on the white courtesy phone….

Update: WSJ has the SEC complaint up in pdf here

Update Q/A Adam Schapiro of FoxBiz asks other fin firms did this, on synthetic CDOs like Deutsche Bank, are they facing charges?

ongoing investigation is the answer

DOW is tanking, down 75 now, GS down 20 (12%)

Q- Why Paulson not charged?

A- Paulson didnt make the representation to the long investors, GS did.

Update:11:11 am est:  SEC conf call LIVE on CNBC now!

they chose which MBS would make up this CDO, J Paulson had significant role in building product, had incentive to choose worst rated MBS to put in the CDO and then they took a short position against it

the prospectus for the long investors in the CDO revealed none of this including Paulsons role..

long investors lost $1b, paulson made $1b

Sing with me!

Karma chameleon baby

CNBC Chyron: SEC charges GS with FRAUD ON SUBPRIME SECURITIES

Muhhuuuuhaaaaa!!!!!

SEC: GS misstated, omitted key facts related to subprime products

SEC: (John) Paulson & Co had hand in structuring CDO in question

SEC grew a pair, hoocodanode!

April 16, 2010. Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , , . Economy, Finance, Foreclosures, Housing, Obama Administration, Politics, Popular Culture, TARP, Wall St. Comments off.

Meredith Whitney: Housing set to fall again, S&P earnings impact…

Vodpod videos no longer available.

more about “Meredith Whitney: Housing set to fall…“, posted with vodpod

April 14, 2010. Tags: , , , , , , , , , , . Economy, Finance, Foreclosures, Housing, TARP, Unemployment Statistics, Wall St. Comments off.

Financial collapse and housing: WaMu execs testify before Senate

Update: CSPAN3 livestreaming the hearing here

The Senate seems to have quite a bit of evidence suggesting the WaMu team deliberately securitized bad bad bad loans as ‘great!’ loans..

WSJ live blogging it here

“The worst managed business I had seen in my career.” That is how Washington Mutual’s former president described his company’s home loan division.

The mortgage lending practices at the Seattle thrift take center stage at a Senate hearing this morning.
The Senate Permanent Subcommittee on Investigations says WaMu did little to stop the loan fraud and generally risky and highly defective securitization practices in its mortgage business

WaMu’s defense? Former CEO Kerry Killinger says he reigned in his company’s mortgage business and blames his thrift’s collapse on unfair and biased regulators who were willing to save Wall Street firms, but not his own

  • Levin: Killinger made $11 million to $20 million a year, from 2003 to 2007. He was paid $25 million when he stepped down in 2008, as his thrift was going down the tubes.  Killinger may have complained about not being part of the Wall Street club (see earlier Deal Journal post). But he sure was paid like one of club.

  • (more…)
  • April 13, 2010. Tags: , , , , , , , . Economy, FDIC, Finance, Foreclosures, Housing, Wall St. Comments off.

    Update: Maxine Waters D-CA shows the dangers of political influence on the Fed; Market Mover Wednesday: Ben on the Hill

    Update: Maxine Waters D-CA, perfectly demonstrated the dangers of the political pressure and influence on the Federal Reserve. Rep. Waters thought the .25 increase in the Discount rate was like the raising of the Fed Funds Rate and would move the yield curve and mortgage rates. Her reaction tells you what will happen when the Fed finally DOES tighten. Imagine what the Critters will do when the Fed tries to sell the MBS it bought@ Fuggedaboudit@ She has Gentle Ben promising not to tighten for an ‘extended period’. If I had any way to bet the Fed wouldnt move for far too long I would…Gawd save us from the inflation…

    10:15 am EST: Ben just began his opening remarks to the Financial Services Cmte. The Fed is predicting UE to drop to 6% in…wait for it…2012….consumer prices expected to rise 1-2% from 2010-2012….they still do not believe we can have inflation with declining wages….

    I think this cycle will prove them wrong, of course when I buy food and gas no one asks me for the ‘core’ rate, they ask me for more of my money

    …in other news new home sales dropped 11% in January…

    LiveStream here

    February 24, 2010. Tags: , , , , , , , , . Economy, Finance, Foreclosures, Housing, Labor Department, Obama Administration, Politics, Unemployment Statistics, Wall St. Comments off.

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