Fed Minutes and Case Shiller Housing Index

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November 24, 2009. Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , . Economy, Finance, Foreclosures, Housing, Labor Department, Obama Administration, Politics, Unemployment Statistics, Wall St. Comments off.

Update 2: US Dollar hits 15 month low..

Update 2: US Dollar hits a 15 month low, this as Geithner said in Tokyo today that we fully support a strong US Dollar. I wonder if he got more laughter? He has been ham handed on Dollar policy since March.

The dollar dropped to a new 15-month low as the the euro rose above $1.50 Wednesday morning, even as Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner reiterated the administration’s stance that a strong dollar is good for the U.S. economy.Geithner, in a speech in Tokyo on his way to a summit of Asian finance ministers in Singapore, also said low interest rates and other government supports for the economy were still needed.

The expectation that the Federal Reserve will keep the key U.S. interest rate near zero has been weighing on the dollar. Higher interest rates make a currency more attractive for investors, since bets made in that currency can earn higher returns.

Against a basket of six major currencies, the dollar hit a 15-month low of 74.775.

“The momentum and the conviction that the Fed will not raise rates any time soon, coupled with the fact that the major central banks continue to provide liquidity liberally” means the “fundamental force” weighing on the dollar will persist, said Brown Brothers Harriman analyst Marc Chandler in a research note Wednesday….

China is making noises about letting the Yuan rise. This would be helpful to all the other economies whose exports are suffering as we let our dollar fall, they are trapped while the Yuan is pegged. Let’s see what shakes out. IMO it is a bad sign for the doollar. This would have been GREAT 5 years ago. Now it is a commentary on the weakness of our currency.

China sent its clearest signal yet that it was ready to allow yuan appreciation after an 18-month hiatus, saying on Wednesday it would consider major currencies, not just the dollar, in guiding the exchange rate.

In its third-quarter monetary policy report, the People’s Bank of China departed from well-worn language on keeping the yuan “basically stable at a reasonable and balanced level.” It hinted instead at a shift from an effective dollar peg that has been in place since the middle of last year

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November 9, 2009. Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , . Economy, Finance, Obama Administration, Politics, Taxes, Wall St. 1 comment.

Zombie Bull Rides Again! Dollar drops, Dow roars plus Gooooold! hits another high

Goooooooooold hit ANOTHER high now up $7.5 to $1103.2, you know what that means…it’s Bassey time!

See Zombie Bull Ride.

Ride Zombie Bull Ride.

zombiebull

Ride Zombie Bull Market Ride!

Who will catch the US Dollar when Zombie Bull realizes he cannot afford to buy feed with his devalued currency?

American minds want to know. Since we LIVE in, you know, the dollar.

Moron market thinking really short term I do not see the future gazing markets of my youth at play here.

DOW about to close up 188.71 now 10,212.13

S & P up 21.85 – 1091.15

NAS up 37.06 to 2149.50

and of course all due to the US Dollar hitting a recent low IMO. 10 yr 3.48% Oil is up $1.75 to $79.18

Update: .DXY (US Dollar  Index) 75.04

November 9, 2009. Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , . Economy, Finance, Obama Administration, Politics, Taxes, Unemployment Statistics, Wall St. Comments off.

Update: Cramer responds; Julian Robertson on the inflation risk: ‘it’s almost Armageddon if China & Japan don’t buy our debt’

Update: MiM rants, scroll down.

Update: Cramer responds to Robertson’s calls, he agrees and says Pelosi Waxman Rangel are anti business and anti shareholder and business profits:

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When Julian Robertson speaks, investors listen. To say that Wall Street respects the Tiger Management founder and chairman would be an understatement. So much so that Cramer urged anyone who disagreed with Robertson to “recalibrate” his position. “Because he is that good,” Cramer said.

One of the silver sages is Robertson. And he agrees with the high high risk of our humble forecast of HYPERinflation…

CNBC:

The US is too dependent on Japan and China buying up the country’s debt and could face severe economic problems if that stops, Tiger Management founder and chairman Julian Robertson told CNBC.

“It’s almost Armageddon if the Japanese and Chinese don’t buy our debt,” Robertson said in an interview. “I don’t know where we could get the money. I think we’ve let ourselves get in a terrible situation and I think we ought to try and get out of it.”Robertson said inflation is a big risk if foreign countries were to stop buying bonds.

“If the Chinese and Japanese stop buying our bonds, we could easily see [inflation] go to 15 to 20 percent,” he said.  “It’s not a question of the economy. It’s a question of who will lend us the money if they don’t. Imagine us getting ourselves in a situation where we’re totally dependent on those two countries. It’s crazy.”

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Robertson said while he doesn’t think the Chinese will stop buying US bonds, the Japanese may eventually be forced to sell some of their long-term bonds.“That’s much worse than not buying,” he said. “The other thing is, they’re buying almost exclusively short-term debt. And that’s what we are offering, because we can’t sell the long-term debt. And you know, the history has been that people who borrow short term really get burned.”

And what is the solution? GROWTH!!!!!!!

The only way to avoid the problem, he said, is to “grow and save our way out of it.”“The U.S. has to quit spending, cut back, start saving, and scale backward,” Robertson said. “Until that happens, I don’t think we’re anywhere near out of the woods.”

Robertson is not very optimistic about the short-term. “We’re in for some real rough sledding,” he said. “ I really do think the recession is at least temporarily over. But we haven’t addressed so many of our problems and we are borrowing so much money that we can’t possibly pay it back, unless the Chinese and Japanese buy our bonds.”

Update: Where have we heard similar sentiments to those expressed here by eminence grise Julian Robertson? Oh yes, I know at the Tea Parties !!!Where regular (ie beneath the considerations of the elite gentrified media and politicians who think they know better than we what we need) Americans are expressing the same concerns about the out of control spending and rising debt. Main St IS already doing what Robertson is suggesting NEEDS to happen, we are SAVING, we are NOT CONSUMING, we are suffering massive pain in job losses and asset deflation but our productivity is up. The American People are not afraid of a little pain and sacrifice. Our leaders OTOH will not suck it up and tell their their labor supporters that CUTS need to be made, government salaries need to come down, labor salaries need to come down, it is an environment of MASSIVE job loss, ALL SALARIES should be coming down if we are in a free market….

MiM Tax Day Tea Party Sign

MiM Tax Day Tea Party Sign

We are telling Congress to Stop Spending (literally, here is my sign from April 15th) ! We are doing what needs to be done but our idiotic Congressional Leadership (and unlike Cramer I DO blame the Executive Branch, it is top down and we all know it) is shoving down our throats a bigger and bigger expansion of government and regulation and an actual active DISCOURAGEMENT for capital investment!

All in an environment in which they are taxing everything that moves and now we  have the pleasure of being taxed on BREATHING essentially in the health care bill, a poll tax like the ones the British revolted against, uhmmm Richard II?

Anyway, it is our politicians that will be METAPHORICALLY dragged kicking screaming out of office since they seem to be CONSTITUTIONALLY (pardon the pun) incapable of CLOSING the People’s Wallet. Sarah Palin totally GETS THIS BTW. See here for her recent speech. That is why so many of us like Sarah. She RESPECTS us, something the Dear Elites currently in office so clearly do not.

While Main St is instinctively doing the right things to get through this, Congress and Team TOTUS with the assistance of the rah rah cheerleading media are doing the precise opposite of what any rational observer, or financial genius like Robertson (people able to separate themselves from their political inclinations which IMO Krugman et al are unable to do) see needs to be done.

STOP SPENDING, SAVE AND BUCKLE DOWN FOR A FEW YEARS. DISCIPLINE AND FRUGALITY. THE AMERICAN WORK ETHIC IS DEEP IN OUR BONES. WE CAN DO THIS IF CONGRESS WILL ONLY GET OUT OF OUR WAY!!!

2010 elections cannot come soon enough. It would appear that despite millions of Americans expressing their desire for the spending to stop all summer long, they are willfully blind. It seems that only a massive turnover in Congress in 2010 will effectively teach the Critters that the American people will not tolerate being totally removed from the equation when decisions are made that will impact all of us for generations.  ESPECIALLY when we KNOW in our guts they are the wrong decisions.

I mean let’s be honest, why the hexx should the entire country have to carry the load of an enormous new entitlement and debt at a time of recessionary growth and massive deficits with surging existing entitlement costs? Because Obama wants a win in his column and EVERYONE KNOWS IT, EVERY POLL SHOWS THERE IS NO FRAKKIN HEALTH CARE EMERGENCY!! EMTALA laws on the books guarantee ER treatment for ANYONE , a frakkin YETI could show up and get TRIAGE!! /rant off

*Def Leppard courtesy of choppothegreat

September 24, 2009. Tags: , , , , , , , , , , . Economy, Finance, Housing, Labor Department, Obama Administration, Politics, Taxes, Unemployment Statistics, Wall St. 2 comments.

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